Thursday 19 November 2015

Key findings from the 2015 Joint Monitoring Program update and MDG assessment.

The 2015 JMP update and MDG Assessment.
Credit: UNICEF/WHO 
The Joint Monitoring Programme for Water Supply and Sanitation (JMP) run by the WHO and UNICEF was responsible for the monitoring of progress towards the Millennium Development Goals (MDG). Earlier this year they released the latest estimates on sanitation and drinking water at the end of the MDG era with reports on progress from 1990-2015. In my last blog I was relatively critical of metrics relating to access. Nonetheless, the report presents the latest findings on urban water and sanitation and therefore it makes sense to do a short short blog outline the key findings.
Figure 1: Use of improved drinking water sources
and MDG target in 2015, and  percentage point
  change from 1990 to 2015,
Source: UNICEF/WHO 



Drinking Water
  • 91% of the global population now uses an improved drinking source up from 76% in 1990 at the start of JMP. This figure is 96% for urban areas.
  • The global target for the MDG was met in 2010, 5 years ahead of the deadline, with 2.6 billion people having gained 'access' to an improved source since 1990.
  • However, in 2015 633 million people still lack access to improved drinking water sources and this figure may well be higher if you question what 'access' really means. As figure 1 shows, five developing regions met the drinking water target. Yet, of the five that didn't, two were within Africa: Northern Africa and sub-Saharan Africa.


Sanitation
  • Improvements in sanitation were much lower than those for drinking water. The MDG target was missed by almost 700 million with just 68% of the global population using improved sanitation facilities compared to 54% in 1990 - a modest improvement nonetheless.
  • The figure for urban areas is now much higher at 82%.
  • Out of the four developing regions that met the sanitation target two were within Africa: Northern and Western Africa. However as figure 3 shows, somewhat alarmingly, limited or no progress dominated in the majority of Africa.
  • However discussed in my third blog, economic factors seem to play a major role in determining access, with none of the least developed regions reaching the sanitation target and only 27% of their population gaining access since 1990. 
MDG target achievement for sanitation, Source: UNICEF/WHO

Equality:

One of the most interesting findings is that multiple inequalities have been found to exist based on wealth and location on a variety of scales. Figure 4 shows the 'equality tree'  for access to piped water created for the JMP (2015). Inequalities exist between regions of the world (first branch), countries within a certain region (second branch), between urban and rural areas within a country (third branch - in this case Kazakhstan but the same pattern would remain within Africa), and between the richest and poorest in respective rural and urban areas (fourth branch). Figure 4 also shows that the poorest fifth of the rural population within Kazakhstan have the same levels of piped water coverage as sub-Saharan Africa.

The 'Equality tree' for access to fresh water, Source: UNICEF/WHO



Access? Really..??

In my previous two blogs I outlined the factors which are responsible in determining access to renewable fresh water resources in urban areas, both physical and socioeconomic. However, what does access really mean? Is it equivalent to the availability and access that I am used to in London on a daily basis?

Figure 1: Trends in global drinking
water coverage and MDG target (%),
1990-2015. Source WHO/UNICEF (2015)
 The WHO/UNICEF Joint Monitoring Program for Water Supply and Sanitation (JMP), which began in 1990, is rightfully proud of global achievements on sanitation and drinking water in the time it has provided estimates of progress towards the Millennium Development targets. In its 2015 update and MDG assessment  it was able to report (fig. 1) that 91% (up from 76% in 1990) of the global population now uses an improved drinking water source with the global MDG target for drinking water met back in 2010, 5 years ahead of the deadline. An impressive 2.6 billion people have gained access to an improved drinking water source since 1990. However, in 2015, 663 million people still do not have access to improved drinking water sources.

Access to safe water as defined by the JMP in the early 1990s is the proportion of population with access to an adequate amount of safe drinking water located within a convenient distance from the user's dwelling (UNICEF/WHO, 2015). Interestingly the words in bold (and placed in small print) are defined at a country level. However the WHO suggest when no definitions are available at the country level the following definitions may be used (WHO, 1996):

  1. Access to water: In urban areas a distance of not more than 200m from a home to a public standpost may be considered reasonable access. In rural areas, reasonable access implies that the housewife does not have to spend a disproportionate part of the day fetching water for the family's needs.
  2. Adequate amount of water: Twenty litres of safe water per person per day. (For reference average water use ranges from 200-300 liters per person per day in most European countries (UN, 2014)).
  3. Safe water: Water that does not contain biological or chemical agents directly detrimental to health. It includes treated surface water and untreated but uncontaminated water from protected springs, bore-holes, sanitary wells, etc.
  4. Convenient distance: In urban areas, to fetch 20 liters of safe water per person per day, 200 meters would be a 'reasonable' distance from the home.
On the 28th of July 2010 the United Nations explicitly recognized the human right to water and sanitation. However issues of access again prevail. Sufficiency is defined as a slightly higher 50 to 100 litres per day. Although everyone has the "right to water and sanitation service that is physically accessible" (UN, 2014), the source only has to be within 1000 metres of the home and collection time should not exceed 30 minutes. This surely cannot be called accessible?

Examples of issues surrounding access within academic literature are common. For instance within urban areas in East Africa, the Drawers of Water 2 study (Thompson et al. 2000) found  that a deterioration of piped water supplies occurred between 1967 and 1997 resulting primarily form a lack of system maintenance. Access still remained as defined by unicef/WHO, however true access declined as represented by a significant reduction in per capita water usage for piped households from 120.4 litres to 64.2 per day. 

Furthermore, the unpredictability of piped water supply in Urban East Africa has forced households to mitigate. This is exemplified through the number of households who are storing water at home (increasing from only 3% in 1967 to 90% in 1997), in addition to their piped supplies to cater for shortages and intermittent failures (Thompson et al. 2000). Taylor (2004) reports that rapid urbanisation in east and southern Africa has overwhelmed many urban, piped supplies, forcing consumers to draw water from a mix of source throughout the year undermining true access. Similar findings have also been echoed in studies of Urban Uganda (Howard et al. 2002). True access is again debatable.

The growing demand for water in urban areas has also lead to a significant rise in private water-vending. Although this can be received positively though increasing convenience and reliability, (Thompson et al. 2000) suggest that it can be detrimental leaving households with limited choice, with rising costs closely linked to declining per capita consumption. For unpiped households, sources of water range from unprotected or surface sources through protected improved sources and private sources such a vendors. Even through protected sources are associated with accessibility, the Drawers of Water paper highlights how they are susceptible to technical failures, facing high demand and steep competition.

Water accessibility measures also fail to take into account issues surrounding collection times. Within a study in rural Ethiopia (different characteristics from urban areas, but still important nonetheless), during drought conditions collection times increased to 9 hours in places. Even within the wet season collections times are significant at 1-2 hours. Furthermore, the main constraint reported by poorer households was their inability to release labour for water collection accentuated by seasonal variability in water resources (Tucker et al. 2014). Although use of water for drinking and cooking does not decline in the dry season, water used for personal health and hygiene was found to be forfeited. Although water may be fundamentally available it is not accessible in reality as other significant costs are incurred, impacting the poorest households the hardest. In addition, the study also tackled the assumption that just because an improved resource is available it will be used preferentially. However, the study found that poorer households are more likely to choose an unimproved source over a more expensive protected source highlighting again how definitions of accessibility do not take into account the true reality of life on the ground. Finally, hidden within metrics of accessibility is the exacerbation of issues of gender inequality. Household collection is primarily conducted by women, and they are therefore preferentially effected with Swahili proverb stating that women are water - mwanawaki ni maji (Taylor 2004).

All these variables undermine definitions of water accessibility. Although significant improvements have been made in water availability and accessibility over the last 20 years, as the JMP recognizes, much still remains to be done. However, as I hope this blog begins to set out the problem is even greater than the JMP report outlines. This is fundamentally because definitions of accessibility hide a significant number of problems that are still at large. It is a lot easier to improve accessibility figures if you do not raise the bar high enough. At the moment access by no stretch of the imagination means full access, to the extent that people deserve as a fundamental human right.



Monday 9 November 2015

Access to water in urban areas - Part 2

Last week I blogged about the importance of physical factors in determining renewable water resource availability and access within urban areas in Africa. In this blog I am turning to socio-economic/ political factors.

Although I previously stressed the importance of water resource availability, figure 1 shows the relationship between the percentage of the population with access to an adequate amount of safe water (a) and access to sanitary facilities (b) against renewable freshwater resources available for selected African nations. It is apparent that there is in fact, on a holistic level, no real relationship between the two variables with the trend lines in fact suggesting a negative linear relationship. Egypt and Algeria (fig. 1a), the countries with the highest access to safe water have very low renewable water resources, 34 and 442 cmpc (cubic meters per capita) respectively. Madagascar and the Democratic Republic of the Congo have water resources of 21139 and 18101 cmpc yet access of just 47% and 45%.  

Figure 1: a) The relationship between access to safe water and renewable fresh water resource, b) access to sanitation and renewable freshwater resources. Data source: *

Figure 2 shows percentage access to safe water (a) and sanitation (b) against GDP per capita. The relationships appear statistically stronger with both access to water and sanitation showing similar positive linear trends. As GDP increases so does access with comparatively wealthier countries appearing to have greater access. For access to water in particular there appears to be a threshold of around $900 after which the highest levels of access are observed. This data suggests that rather than physical factors and the availability of renewable resources, access is instead determined by socio-economic conditions


Figure 2: a) Th e relationship between access to safe water and GDP per capita. b) access to sanitation and GDP per capita. Data source: *
A study in the early 2000's revisited earlier work on urban water use in East Africa (Drawers of water) providing analysis on changing usage patters over a 30 year period (Thompson et al. 2000). The paper found the most important factor affecting urban water use was whether or not households had access to a functioning piped system. Thus, in 1967 (fig. 3) those who access to piped sources consumed on average 124.3 litres per day whereas those without a piped source used only 15.4 litres. By 1997 the consumption gap between piped and unpiped sources had narrowed significantly. Although this may appear positive it is in fact mainly as a result of declining per capita water usage in piped households to 64.2 litres although unpiped usage did increase slightly to 24.3 litres per day. The changes in daily per capita water usage were not as a result of changing availability of renewable freshwater resources or physical factors or major improvements in unpiped systems. Instead the authors argue that the closing consumption gap is mostly a consequence of the collapse of municipal piped systems. A similar story is found with the reliability of piped supplies with in 1967 practically all piped households receiving 24 hour access. In 1997 this had fallen to only 56%. This is again blamed on socio-economic factors such as lack of system maintenance and increasing stresses on existing network capacity. Considering the scale of additional stresses resulting from a rapidly growing population, the authors finish by underlining the importance of governance in ensuring access to water again echoing the importance of socio-economic and political factors.

Figure 3: Per capita water used by type (litres per day). Source: Thompson et al. (2000)

Although the fundamental availability of freshwater resources is dependent upon physical factors and the distribution of freshwater resources, this blog has has highlighted the idea that there are equally important relationships at play. The relationship between socio-economic and political factors and access. These ideas I will focus in on in much greater detail in some of my future blogs. However, my next blog aims to look behind the metrics. I will investigate what access to water really means and whether the term 'access' is in fact rather misleading.

* Data sources:  World Resources Institute (2000); Population, Resources, Environment and Development Databank (v. 3.0), United Nations ESA/P/WP.170 (January 28, 2002)